The future will be cold, brutish and nasty
A recent NIE report calls the war in Afghanistan a stalemate. I don't think I could argue against that assessment even though I don't trust any "intelligence" coming out of US sources. The US may have toppled the Taliban government, and the Iraqi government as well, after invading these Muslim shitholes but both are in the process of reverting right back where they started.
I think that the US fell into the miscalculation that every country that you go to war with can be rehabilitated like Japan and Germany into a peaceful, allied place that loves you forever. But Japan and Germany were exceptions principally because we utterly destroyed them and then occupied them for a generation. Also, we never won hearts and minds in either country. We told them what they were going to do with the threat that we'd destroy them completely.
The fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan had barely ended with minimal casualties before the US was trying to win hearts and minds. Sunnis and Afghans were paid billions of dollars to stop fighting and promised that the US would withdraw from the country if they asked us to. Most of the locals took the money, stood down and left a few die-hards to kill americans with bombs until we left. We did in Iraq and soon will in Afghanistan. Iraq has already resumed their civil war and no matter what we "negotiate" in Afghanistan the civil war will re-start after we leave. Muslims will hate us no matter what we say or do, even if we surrender to them.
The wars changed both the US and Iraq/Afghanistan, the former negatively and the latter for the better. The US will likely never go to war again no matter what anyone does to americans while the Muslims now have a brutal model of how to run infidels away. Oh we may have drones fire rockets from afar or drop small teams in to shoot people in the head. But no invasions by BCTs or armor. That's part of history now.
Americans thought they understood the world after WW2 and arrogantly pushed their thought processes onto foreign minds thinking the US was superior in everything. In the early 21st century it became clear that the US, and Western emperors were naked. Both our military and economic power was really false and was defeatable as is being demonstrated globally today
Brutal China and the inhuman Caliphate will be teaching the lessons going forward. A billion americans and Europeans will hold out a bit longer but 6 billion peasants see the writing on the wall. Submit or be brutalized. The future will be cold, brutish and nasty.
Now, you kids get back to searching the normal distribution curves. Where does the modern US fit? The median or on the tail going forward? Extra credit if you can place the West on the line.
I think that the US fell into the miscalculation that every country that you go to war with can be rehabilitated like Japan and Germany into a peaceful, allied place that loves you forever. But Japan and Germany were exceptions principally because we utterly destroyed them and then occupied them for a generation. Also, we never won hearts and minds in either country. We told them what they were going to do with the threat that we'd destroy them completely.
The fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan had barely ended with minimal casualties before the US was trying to win hearts and minds. Sunnis and Afghans were paid billions of dollars to stop fighting and promised that the US would withdraw from the country if they asked us to. Most of the locals took the money, stood down and left a few die-hards to kill americans with bombs until we left. We did in Iraq and soon will in Afghanistan. Iraq has already resumed their civil war and no matter what we "negotiate" in Afghanistan the civil war will re-start after we leave. Muslims will hate us no matter what we say or do, even if we surrender to them.
The wars changed both the US and Iraq/Afghanistan, the former negatively and the latter for the better. The US will likely never go to war again no matter what anyone does to americans while the Muslims now have a brutal model of how to run infidels away. Oh we may have drones fire rockets from afar or drop small teams in to shoot people in the head. But no invasions by BCTs or armor. That's part of history now.
Americans thought they understood the world after WW2 and arrogantly pushed their thought processes onto foreign minds thinking the US was superior in everything. In the early 21st century it became clear that the US, and Western emperors were naked. Both our military and economic power was really false and was defeatable as is being demonstrated globally today
Brutal China and the inhuman Caliphate will be teaching the lessons going forward. A billion americans and Europeans will hold out a bit longer but 6 billion peasants see the writing on the wall. Submit or be brutalized. The future will be cold, brutish and nasty.
Now, you kids get back to searching the normal distribution curves. Where does the modern US fit? The median or on the tail going forward? Extra credit if you can place the West on the line.
posted by lugh lampfhota at 6:32 PM
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